Topic: UFC Fight Night

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot

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Tapology
Tapology
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06.01.2023 | 10:13 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC Fight Night
  • Saturday 09.23.2023 at 04:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: ESPN+
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: UFC Apex
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Brendan Fitzgerald, Dominick Cruz, Michael Bisping
  • Ring Announcer: Joe Martinez
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Michael Bisping
  • MMA Bouts: 11
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Mateusz Gamrot   defeats   Rafael Fiziev   via KO/TKO, Leg Injury   2:03 Round 2 of 5, 7:03 Total Bout Page
Bryce Mitchell   defeats   Dan Ige   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Marina Rodriguez   defeats   Michelle Waterson-Gomez   via KO/TKO, Punches From Mount   2:42 Round 2 of 3, 7:42 Total Bout Page
Bryan Battle   defeats   AJ Fletcher   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   4:32 Round 2 of 3, 9:32 Total Bout Page
Charles Jourdain   defeats   Ricardo Ramos   via Submission, Guillotine Choke   3:12 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Miles Johns   vs.   Dan Argueta   Ends in a No Contest, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Tim Means   defeats   Andre Fialho   via KO/TKO, Knee and Punches   1:15 Round 3 of 3, 11:15 Total Bout Page
Cody Brundage   defeats   Jacob Malkoun   via Disqualificaton, Illegal Elbow to Back of Head   4:15 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Mohammed Usman   defeats   Jake Collier   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Mizuki Inoue   defeats   Hannah Goldy   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Montserrat Rendon   defeats   Tamires Vidal   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page

Responses Page 6

BriggsH
BriggsH
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09.17.2023 | 6:10 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 455 Points   |   Tied for 504th

Looking for something to parlay with Battle and Fiziev, I think Battle absolutely smokes fletcher and Gamrot had a tough fight against the overrated Jalin Turner, I think  Fiziev KOs him in the mid to late rounds after some gas is taken out from Gamrot failing takedowns and Fiziev investing to the body. Fiziev has some pretty solid TDD and I don’t think Gamrot is that great.

"I back, trust me, I back."

AyyLmaonnaise
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09.17.2023 | 6:19 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 380 Points   |   Tied for 1668th

I like mitchell a lot here. Especially at the price

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

BriggsH
BriggsH
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09.17.2023 | 7:19 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 455 Points   |   Tied for 504th

His life out of the octagon scares me a little, but if he gets the grappling going it’s wraps.

"I back, trust me, I back."

baremaras
baremaras
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09.17.2023 | 7:55 PM ET

Predictions: 5 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 315 Points   |   Tied for 3279th

Argueta at -160 is a MUST bet, unless you're expecting him to get moved to a better price within the week 
DamienHandel420
DamienHandel420
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09.17.2023 | 9:13 PM ET

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 375 Points   |   Tied for 1774th

This is a sneaky good card, beside 2-3 prelims that will suck, the rest of the card will be fun

"Quack quack quack"

foppa420
foppa420
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09.17.2023 | 9:26 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 440 Points   |   Tied for 655th

Battle vs. Fletcher is low key a pretty good fight. Both guys have fought pretty good competition in the UFC so far. 
Glovetown
Glovetown
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09.17.2023 | 11:49 PM ET

Predictions: 5 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 275 Points   |   Tied for 3832nd

@baremaras 
I got Argueta at -200 thinking I got a great value… imagine my agitation. At least I got Vidal at -205 though 

"Why you ain’t look me in my eyes when you said that?"

EricR50
EricR50
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09.18.2023 | 12:04 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 5 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 350 Points   |   Tied for 2796th

Fiziev vs. Gamrot
Rafael Fiziev, DEC
Pray for the fiziev win

Mitchell vs. Ige
Dan Ige, TKO, R3
Mitchell striking poo

Battle vs. Fletcher
Bryan Battle, SUB, R2
Club & Sub

Jourdain vs. Ramos
Charles Jourdain, DEC
I think it should be closer but whatever

Johns vs. Argueta
Dan Argueta, DEC
Pace & pressure

Means vs. Fialho
Andre Fialho, TKO, R2
Means to old :(

Malkoun vs. Brundage
Jacob Malkoun, DEC
😴😴😴😴😴😴😴😴😴

Collier vs. Usman
Mohammed Usman, DEC
Collier was a MW and on 3 fight losing streak, how is Usman only -170??

Inoue vs. Goldy
Mizuki Inoue, DEC
Idk

"Follow my ig @nextminutemma for a lot of my thoughts on all things MMA"

flamingyon
flamingyon
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09.18.2023 | 12:23 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 2 of 5 Winners, 0 Perfect, 100 Points   |   Tied for 4681st

Means vs. Fialho
Andre Fialho
key matchup

Rendon vs. Vidal
Tamires Vidal
key matchup

Rah123
Rah123
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09.18.2023 | 12:32 AM ET

Briggs

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 1291st

I wouldn't parlay Fiziev with anyone if I was you

"Positivity is a positive"

MarioSuperSmash
MarioSuperSmash
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09.18.2023 | 12:37 AM ET

Predictions: 4 of 5 Winners, 1 Perfect, 225 Points   |   Tied for 4294th

@AyyLmaonnaise 
Absolutely agree. 

"Eat Sleep Gamble on fights 👊🏿👊🏿👊🏿"

GreenTeaEnthusiast
GreenTeaEnthusiast

09.18.2023 | 12:42 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 450 Points   |   Tied for 545th

Fiziev vs. Gamrot
Mateusz Gamrot, DEC
This is a risky one, as Gamrot has amongst the worst striking defense - if not the single worst - at the top of the division, and Fiziev... is not the guy you want in front of you, armed with that feature. With that said Gamrot is quite the physical specimen, boasting cardio for days and a very decorated grappling arsenal. He just finds a way to close the distance and make it work, and that's exactly what I expect to happen here. After a shaky start for Gamrot, I believe Fiziev will feel the pace turn up and begin to fade. When that happens, Gamrot... is not the guy you want in front of you. I'd be a lot more confident if he patched up his fundamental striking, but I think Mateusz dominates this fight in the later stretch.

Mitchell vs. Ige
Bryce Mitchell, DEC
Dan Ige's strength of schedule is probably his biggest advantage over Mitchell. I know, he's a fabulous boxer, but it's not enough on its own to keep Bryce off of him across fifteen minutes. Pace and pressure will be the dictating factors in this fight, and it's hard to see either of those being controlled by Ige. I'll go with Mitchell to bounce back.

Jourdain vs. Ramos
Charles Jourdain, DEC
It's rather rare to see young veterans matched up. Ramos is an intriguing watch; he always brings the heat, and he's racking up some good wins heading into his prime years. I just think Jourdain is improving at a much quicker rate, and his fight IQ - my one biggest criticism of his - is growing exponentially. He's making smarter decisions, and I trust that he'll be able to do that here.

Malkoun vs. Brundage
Jacob Malkoun, DEC
Malkoun is underrated.

DamienHandel420
DamienHandel420
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09.18.2023 | 1:56 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 375 Points   |   Tied for 1774th

My worry for betting the main event, three of four Gamrot UFC fights which are against fighter who are not old has been very debatable decision, so it could be another one which isn’t very clear who won and it's up to the judges 

And honestly it could be another one of those one if Fizeav doesn't finish him or improve his cardio, Gamrot cardio is so much better the Fizeav, But Fizeav has elite takedown defence and better stiker



* Edited at 09.18.2023, 1:58 AM ET *

"Quack quack quack"

Rah123
Rah123
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09.18.2023 | 2:46 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 1291st

Btw just realised something. 

Mike Bell was the same buffalo who scored the Ankalaev vs Blachowicz card badly giving another draw....

Coincidence?

They must truly be laughing at us who bet on MMA 😆 🤣 😂 😹 

* Edited at 09.18.2023, 2:46 AM ET *

"Positivity is a positive"

UFC_1
UFC_1
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09.18.2023 | 3:58 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 475 Points   |   Tied for 304th

Usman beat Tafa Jr. who more more better than Colier
Rah123
Rah123
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09.18.2023 | 4:30 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 1291st

Please tell me you guys aren't picking Mo Usman the Faker Snoozeman

* Edited at 09.18.2023, 4:30 AM ET *

"Positivity is a positive"

jeffferson
jeffferson
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09.18.2023 | 5:10 AM ET

Usman R1 KO (a possible decision but gut feeling says KO)
 Call me crazy but I'm picking Usman & betting a lot of cash on him too. I believe it's one of the safest and most profitable money lines in the card. Indeed he has a lot of holes in his game but I don't see him losing this fight. Collier won't be submitting him or getting a decision victory (if it goes to a decision it's definetly Usman). Only way Collier can win is by KO. And believe me that's not happening. He's an ex-middleweight turned heavyweight and middleweight is where his last KO happend back in 2016. Let's not forget that horrible R1 Usman had against Tafa. He got hurt bad but refused on giving up and proved he had a chin. That's Tafa and he hits way harder then Collier. Usman is not going down by him. This fight is literally built for Usman to continue his win streak. Jake Collier is 5-8 in the UFC & 1-4 in his last 5. There's no future for him. His only win in the last 5 fights being Chase Sherman, who is seriously terrible. Then a split decision loss to a washed 44 year old Arlovski. And another split to Felipe who looks to have a nice record of 12-2 however before being cut from UFC losing a UDC to the same washed Arlovski. I really can't see a path to victory here for Collier even with a little more experience of his. Both bad fighters but Usman takes this W.

"Train by day, Joe Rogan podcast by night" - Nick Diaz

Biba
Biba
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09.18.2023 | 5:58 AM ET

Fight Forecast; Machine Learning predictions.

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 480 Points   |   Tied for 278th



https://www.fightforecast.net/


My predictions using my machine learning model, this week it picked all the Tapology favourites, so not much to say there. 

Model itself has a ~77% accuracy on the test. & train sets so I'm still hopeful it can keep it up. It does not take into account draws though, so last week was a bit weird for me.

* Edited at 09.18.2023, 5:59 AM ET *

Nvintzileos
Nvintzileos
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09.18.2023 | 7:11 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 5 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 290 Points   |   Tied for 3671st

Malkoun vs. Brundage
Jacob Malkoun, TKO, R1
Cody sucks

"It’s about Drive, It’s about Power"

Thesnake101
Thesnake101
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09.18.2023 | 7:18 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 390 Points   |   Tied for 1561st

There's a better chance of peace in the middle east than of Malkoun finishing a fight.

Page 6


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